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Walmart Pokémon 30th Celebration Drawing: Prices & Math

· 5 min read · By the Friends & Family team

Walmart is selling 30th Celebration product by drawing again, and every price is above MSRP. Mini Tin displays were still selling for about twice Walmart's price on eBay this week, so the markup barely changes the math. Here's what's in the drawing and how the numbers work.

Four Pokémon TCG 30th Celebration Mini Tins, showing Espeon and Meowth, Mew and Alolan Exeggutor, Mewtwo and Scraggy, and Umbreon and Alolan Meowth
Image: The Pokémon Company International, via Pokemon.com

Walmart has another Pokémon TCG: 30th Celebration drawing on its Collectibles Draw page. Walmart lists it as starting today, September 30, at 2:00 PM PT (5:00 PM ET). Three Pokémon products are in it, and all three are priced above The Pokémon Company's suggested retail price.

Here's what's in the drawing, how Walmart's drawings work, and how the numbers compare with what these products sold for on eBay this week.

What's in the Walmart drawing

These are the Pokémon items and prices on Walmart's Collectibles Draw page when we checked on September 30:

Product Walmart price Per unit US MSRP per unit
30th Celebration Booster Bundle 2-Pack $79.94 $39.97 $26.94
30th Celebration Mini Tin 10-Count Display $129.70 $12.97 $9.99
30th Celebration Knock Out Collection 4-Count $47.92 $11.98 $9.99

The MSRPs come from collector price trackers, not Walmart. The Pokémon Company's own product showcase doesn't list prices. A Booster Bundle has 6 booster packs. Each Mini Tin has 2 booster packs, a sticker sheet and an art card, and there are 10 tin designs. The Knock Out Collection has 2 booster packs, a foil Eevee promo and a coin.

The Booster Bundle and Mini Tins come out October 2. The Knock Out Collection has been out since the set launched on September 16.

Walmart's markup adds up. At MSRP, the Bundle 2-pack would be $53.88, and 10 Mini Tins would be $99.90. You're paying about $26 more for the Bundles and about $30 more for the tins.

How Walmart's drawings work

Walmart's draw page explains the rules. The ones that matter most:

  • Entry is free, and you need a Walmart account. You can enter each drawing once.
  • Choose your address, payment and quantity before you enter. You can't change them afterward, and you can't cancel your entry.
  • Winners are picked at random after entries close. Walmart says it may remove entries it believes are fraudulent or abusive.
  • If you're picked, Walmart places the order for you with the details you entered. You're only charged if the order goes through.
  • Canceling after you win: Walmart says you "may be able to cancel" if the order is still eligible and hasn't been fulfilled.
  • Returns: Walmart says items bought through a drawing "may not be returnable" and follow its standard return policy. Assume you can't send them back.
  • Shipping: orders under $35 may have delivery fees, and you can't add other items to a drawing order.

In short, entering costs nothing. But if you win, expect to keep what you ordered.

What the products sold for on eBay

We checked eBay sold listings on September 30. The Bundles and Mini Tins aren't out until October 2, so most of these sales are presales (the seller doesn't have the item yet). Presale prices can drop quickly once stores stock the product.

  • Mini Tin display (10 tins): most sales were between $245 and $274.95 on September 29 and 30.
  • Booster Bundle (single): mostly $71 to $85.61 on September 30. Several listings sold three Bundles for $225 to $238.
  • Knock Out Collection (single): mostly $22.99 to $32. One lot of four sold for $94.99.

These are the prices buyers paid in the days before release, not a prediction. For comparison, in our Delta Reign preorder guide we noted Slumpd's warning that main-set prices can fall quickly after release, like they did for Pitch Black.

The fee math

eBay's fee for Collectible Card Games is 13.25% of the total sale up to $7,500, plus $0.40 per order over $10. Using sales from this week, before sales tax, shipping and supplies:

  • Mini Tin display: a $245 sale leaves about $212.14 after fees. That's about $82 over Walmart's $129.70. To just get back $129.70, you'd need to sell for about $150.
  • Booster Bundle 2-pack: two Bundles sold at $71 each leave about $122.38, about $42 over $79.94.
  • Knock Out Collection 4-count: a four-box lot at $94.99 leaves about $82, about $34 over $47.92.

Remember that sales tax is charged on Walmart's price, and shipping a display costs more than shipping a single tin.

Flip, hold or pass?

This is our analysis, not a promise.

Flip: The Mini Tin display has the most room. It still clears Walmart's price even if presale prices drop by a third. The Bundles also look fine at this week's prices, but single Bundles are the kind of product that sells at lots of retailers, so that price is the most likely to drop after October 2.

Hold: The tins are the best fit for holding. There are 10 designs that combine into two large images, and collectors trying to complete the set may keep demand up. If you win, you can keep the display sealed and decide later.

Pass: The Knock Out Collection is the weakest of the three. It's already on shelves, it's been out for two weeks, and Walmart is charging almost $2 over MSRP per box. The profit is small once you pay to ship four boxes.

Entering is free and random, so there's little reason not to enter the products you'd be happy to keep. Just don't count on winning.

Slumpd's read

Slumpd, who runs our Pokémon information, told our members this week that most of his focus is still on 30th Celebration rather than Delta Reign. He didn't comment on this drawing specifically. That's his opinion, not a promise about prices.

More 30th Celebration coverage

Our Pokémon group tracks 30th Celebration drops, restocks and drawings, and members on the TCG and Complete plans get free ACO (auto checkout) for Pokémon and One Piece drops. If you're new to buying at retail, read how to buy Pokémon cards at retail. For a raffle we covered before, watch Riftbound Spiritforged turning into a raffle. Browse all of our Pokémon TCG articles.

Pokémon and the Pokémon Trading Card Game are trademarks of Nintendo, Creatures Inc. and GAME FREAK inc. Friends & Family is an independent reselling community and is not affiliated with or endorsed by The Pokémon Company International.

Sources

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